Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.004323 0.004550 0.004783 0.005040 0.005317 0.005607 0.005933
2025-09-21 0.003932 0.004266 0.004624 0.005039 0.005507 0.006022 0.006633
2025-09-28 0.003586 0.003966 0.004384 0.004882 0.005462 0.006121 0.006935
2025-10-05 0.003421 0.003844 0.004321 0.004902 0.005599 0.006414 0.007454
2025-10-12 0.003311 0.003772 0.004302 0.004962 0.005774 0.006750 0.008033
2025-10-19 0.003168 0.003650 0.004214 0.004929 0.005826 0.006929 0.008419
2025-10-26 0.003048 0.003547 0.004139 0.004903 0.005880 0.007107 0.008806
2025-11-02 0.002935 0.003447 0.004061 0.004867 0.005913 0.007255 0.009156
2025-11-09 0.002891 0.003427 0.004081 0.004951 0.006102 0.007612 0.009805
2025-11-16 0.002795 0.003339 0.004008 0.004911 0.006124 0.007742 0.010145
2025-11-23 0.002721 0.003274 0.003963 0.004903 0.006185 0.007926 0.010567
2025-11-30 0.002625 0.003178 0.003872 0.004830 0.006153 0.007976 0.010792
2025-12-07 0.002538 0.003090 0.003791 0.004767 0.006133 0.008043 0.011051
2025-12-14 0.002479 0.003039 0.003755 0.004765 0.006196 0.008232 0.011507
2025-12-21 0.002369 0.002916 0.003620 0.004619 0.006050 0.008106 0.011459
2025-12-28 0.002328 0.002883 0.003604 0.004638 0.006139 0.008331 0.011982
2026-01-04 0.002303 0.002870 0.003614 0.004694 0.006282 0.008644 0.012670
2026-01-11 0.002249 0.002816 0.003565 0.004663 0.006296 0.008757 0.013028
2026-01-18 0.002199 0.002767 0.003523 0.004639 0.006318 0.008883 0.013416
2026-01-25 0.002149 0.002716 0.003475 0.004605 0.006322 0.008979 0.013757
2026-02-01 0.002139 0.002719 0.003503 0.004683 0.006501 0.009364 0.014638
2026-02-08 0.002091 0.002669 0.003455 0.004647 0.006499 0.009453 0.014985
2026-02-15 0.002056 0.002635 0.003427 0.004639 0.006542 0.009617 0.015483